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Research archive for AMGN

Amgen - Repatha not as effective as hoped

20 March 2017

On Friday before the US market opened we had the results from a large scale study on the effectiveness of Amgen's Repatha drug which lowers cholesterol. The results from the drug were positive but not positive enough for traders, the stock fell 6.4% on Friday (Amgen is getting whacked after disappointing study results for its $14,000 cholesterol drug). The big thing to note about this drug is that it costs between $8 000 - $15 000, depending on the dosage required. As you can imagine, insurance companies are not keen to shell out that kind of money without proof that the drug has benefits. The main benefit needed is a reduction in the number of people having heart attacks and needing to be hospitalized, which could cost insurers more than the cost of Repatha.

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Amgen 4q & FY numbers - The biggest company you have never heard of

06 February 2017

Amgen reported numbers on Thursday evening, after the market closed. I think for the purposes of this 4th quarter update, it is worth publishing a sales table of all of their therapies to explain where the business is right now.

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Amgen wins patent court case

06 January 2017

It is not often that one has to watch legal judgments with your stocks, you would hope that the companies you own stay out of the courts. That is nigh impossible in the modern era though, there is always much open to interpretation. See the story that concerns one of our stocks - Amgen Wins Ban on Sanofi's Praluent Cholesterol Drug Sales. As you can see from the story, Regeneron and Sanofi will appeal this ruling.

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Amgen 3Q numbers - concerns over key drugs

01 November 2016

Amgen reported their numbers post the market close last Thursday evening. The stock was completely smoked. By Friday close of trade the stock had lost nearly ten percent, the worst single day loss for 14 years. Why? Was there anything fundamentally wrong with the numbers? At face value the results and guidance looked decent enough. There have been several concerns about their best sellers coming under volume and price threats. Let us be clear when we are talking about these pharma businesses that one is able to invest in, there is a very fine line between the company dedicating in the teens of revenues for research and development (looking for new life changing therapies), billions of Dollars and then the cost to broader society, who essentially pays after the therapy has passed all the regulatory requirements.

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Amgen 2Q 2016 numbers - strong pipeline

01 August 2016

Amgen reported numbers last week - Second Quarter 2016 Financial Results. It is not as tough to report on a company that has a very focused consumer front facing business, in many cases we use loads of consumer products like Apple (your phone or computer), Google search (or Android phones), Facebook (Instagram and WhatsApp), Amazon (reading your Kindle, ordering online), Nike (go for a run or to gym), JNJ and L'Oreal (shampoos and consumer products), Netflix even, perhaps even Priceline (Booking.com). Whilst you are wearing your Luxottica (sunglasses) products. Those businesses you know and use, and you are very familiar with.

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Amgen 1Q numbers - beat expectations

03 May 2016

Amgen, one of the world's leading biotech companies reported results for their first quarter of the 2016 financial year on Thursday evening. This is not a company that we have owned for a long time, it is a relatively recent acquisition for our clients. In fact, we have only been buying this company for clients for around a year. The nearly four decade old company, as per their mission statement are involved in producing cost effective therapies that are based on advances in cellular and molecular biology. If you were not paying attention in those respective subjects, biology and chemistry, then I suppose like most of us without the advanced studies in the respective fields, we will have to understand what the therapies do, whether or not there will be greater need for them, whether or not the company is on the right track, whether or not importantly that the company is a good investment at this juncture.

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Amgen 4Q and full year numbers

01 February 2016

Amgen reported numbers for the fourth quarter and full year last week Thursday, after the market closed. This stock is new to the recommended list, perhaps a refresher on what the business does is in order. The company treats serious illnesses, that includes cancer, kidney diseases, rheumatoid arthritis and bone diseases, primarily. The company uses (a lot of this is from their website) advanced human genetics to firstly understand the conditions, before researching and manufacturing at the highest possible standard.

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Amgen Q3 numbers

29 October 2015

Amgen, one of the newest additions to the Vestact recommended stock stable, reported numbers post the market last evening. This is a company that I have been watching for about 8 years, back when Lehman Brothers still housed employees and actually had a family. The numbers were for Q3 and were a pretty solid beat, guidance was also a little higher than the previous range. Preliminary guidance was released for 2016 too, the group expects revenues in the region of 21.7 to 22.3 billion Dollars for that financial year, with EPS in the region of 10.35 to 10.75. The share price closed last evening at 162.67, in simple terms the share price trades in the middle of the guided range (10.55 USD EPS) on 15.4 times earnings. The yield at current levels is just below 2 percent.

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