Naspers 6M numbers - growth keeps rolling


Last week we received interim 6 month results from Naspers. Being by far the biggest company on the JSE, this event now attracts a lot of attention. As expected, the results looked stellar on the back of another incredible period for Tencent. Let us take a look at the numbers which remember, are now reported in dollars.


Tencent 2Q - beat expectations


The Tencent 2Q numbers didn't disappoint when they were released after market close in Hong Kong yesterday. This was in the middle of our trading day, the Naspers share price immediately shot 4% higher. Tencent is up 3.5% today. The numbers beat on top and bottom line, with revenues up 59% YoY and EPS up 44% YoY. What is amazing is the QoQ growth, where revenue is 14% higher than 3 months ago and profits are 17% higher. Most companies would be happy with that level of growth over twelve months instead of just three.


Tencent's Moat


Tomorrow Tencent report 2Q numbers, probably the most significant set of numbers for the JSE even though they don't even trade here. The numbers are out at around lunchtime. In Jozi that will set the tone for Naspers and by extension our market. I found this very interesting slide show talking about why Tencent is such an amazing business, Tencent's Wide Moat. If you don't fully understand why we think Tencent and Naspers are such great businesses this slide should help.


Naspers FY Numbers - deeper look


We promised another take on the Naspers results from last Friday. This is about the most muted price reaction that I have seen in a while to the Naspers results. First things first, Naspers trades at a significant discount to the value of the stake that they have in Tencent. I can see why in some investors minds, this is more than a little irritating. For starters, as of the close of business in Hong Kong, the price of Tencent was 284 Hong Kong Dollars a share. That puts the market capitalisation at 2.69 trillion Hong Kong Dollars. 33.85 percent of Tencent (what Naspers owns) is 910 billion Hong Kong Dollars. Which equals more or less 1.513 trillion Rand! The Naspers market capitalisation was 1.13 trillion Rand, a gap of almost 400 billion Rand. i.e. minus 400 billion Rand for all the other businesses.


Naspers FY numbers, still going strong


On Friday we saw the release of one of the most widely held stocks here for our investors, and in fact a company that has attracted a lot of attention on both sides of the investment aisle for the better part of the last decade. Naspers. For one, a company founded in physical printing of newspapers over a century ago has managed to stay relevant with investments at the right time in the likes of satellite TV and of course the biggest home run of them all, a very early investment in Tencent. Recently there has been a more accelerated investment in internet enabled businesses and divestments of less core businesses in key geographies. Notwithstanding streaming technology taking hold, our continent is a little behind the curve, and the company managed to add nearly 600 thousand households to their satellite TV business over the last year.


Tencent 1Q numbers - still massive growth


Tencent reported numbers in the late morning yesterday. Tencent is difficult for most investors to understand. I don't talk for all investors, perhaps investors spend more time reading than they do partaking in role-player or single shooter games either on their PC or on their mobile phone. Plus, many investors in Naspers/Tencent do not get to experience the entire experience from the company, as it is in a different language and in many respects a closed off internet society, if that makes sense.


Tencent buys 5% of Tesla


A 13-G announcement from Tesla seemed innocuous at first glance - SCHEDULE 13G. However, if you dug a little deeper, you suddenly discovered that the investor was none other than Tencent, the Chinese business that we know very well, through our investments in Naspers. So how much is this exactly? We worked it out, they paid for the full stake (8,167,544 shares divided by 1,777,842,836 Dollars) 217.67 Dollars a share. At the closing value last evening, the stake is worth 2.266 billion Dollars. Tencent are now officially a five percent shareholder of Tesla, which is cool from our perspective down here in South Africa. Why? As a Naspers shareholder, who owns around 34 percent of Tencent, you now indirectly own a stake in Tesla.


Naspers sells non-core asset Souq


Another announcement that has to do with the shares that we own is that Souq finally sold to Amazon, even though the founder could have extracted more for his efforts. See the announcement on the Souq website - Joining the Amazon family. Ronaldo Mouchawar is an interesting guy, for one he is born in Aleppo, a city that has heartbreaking before and after pictures. He is tall, a former basketball player in his earlier days. He could have accepted a higher offer from another suitor, feeling however that the Amazon offer would do good by the customers.


Tencent 4Q numbers - strong growth with diversification


Tencent released numbers after the Hong Kong market had closed yesterday and before the US market had opened. As such, there was only a single platform where to see the reaction, and that was here in Jozi. Naspers own a little over one-third of Tencent, in one of the best initial investments known. The results for the full year to end 31 December 2016.


Naspers 6 month numbers - shifting gears


Naspers delivered results on Friday afternoon. First thing to remember is that back in April the company changed their reporting currency to Dollars, for the purposes of standardising across multiple geographies. As they point out in these results, revenues derived outside of the borders of our country represent 80 percent of total revenues, so it makes sense to report in US Dollars and not Rands anymore. This is a sign of the business continuing to mature and attract more customers across the globe, as we often say, you cannot carry your hopes on only 50 odd million customers, you need to attract all of them, all across the globe! As the release points out, costs for their ecommerce business are incurred in the local currency, as such the currency movements are "diffused", whereas in the video entertainment segment (TV and streaming) you earn local currencies, your costs are in Dollars. i.e. your subscribers are buying content in local currencies, you are paying Dollars for said content.


Naspers trading statement - still growing quickly


Naspers released a trading statement on Friday afternoon. Just Thursday we had the numbers from their largest investment, Tencent, we covered those Friday - Tencent 3Q numbers - Strong top & bottom line growth. This trading statement has a few moving parts. As they often say (the Naspers board, they!), they consider "core headline earnings an appropriate indicator of the sustainable operating performance of the group, as it adjusts for non-recurring and non-operational items."


Tencent 3Q numbers - Strong top & bottom line growth


Tencent released numbers yesterday, you will recall that we teed you up with the WSJ article that included analyst expectations. It is one of my least favorite things (forecasting to the decimal point), humans however like an element of control in "all things" and tend to have all sorts of weird phobias associated with the things that we can't control. Spiders to flying, to the dark and so on, we all have different ways of avoiding or dealing with our fears. Anyhows, Naspers, at the turn of the last millennium invested in a small Chinese internet company called Tencent, the rest as they say is history. I wonder if it really was one of the best deals of all time, it may well be.


Naspers Ibibo mergers with MakeMyTrip


News in a couple of days ago, about Naspers, and this time on another business that the market doesn't seem to give a value to. Michael said something interesting yesterday, he said that he thought Naspers unlocking value by selling these non core assets is great for the most investors, particularly those who think the business is over valued. What he means is that many South Africans in their pension funds or in their index trackers (around 20% weighting now), own Naspers indirectly. In short, Naspers will combine their Ibibo business (Tencent also owns a stake) with another Indian travel website, MakeMyTrip. MakeMyTrip happens to be listed on the New York Stock Exchange. We will get into that in a second.


Naspers sells Allegro for $3.2 billion


Check out the release from the horse's mouth: Naspers to sell Allegro Group to Cinven, Permira and Mid Europa. 3.253 billion Dollars is the price tag, or 46.61 billion Rand. Or at the closing price, and by extension market capitalisation on Friday, 4.59 percent. Which is not mind blowing, it is however pretty big in quantum. If that deal size (46.61 billion Rand) was a single business here, listed on the JSE, it would currently fall into 44th place, just smaller than GoldFields and PSG. And is bigger than Kumba and Sappi, by their market capitalisation. The same size as Massmart and EOH put together. Really.


Tencent 2Q numbers - growth accelerating


Tencent are very important to Naspers. Possibly more important to the share price than all the other parts put together. The South African company owns over one-third of a percent in the Chinese "internet" company. In the last annual report that is available to investors to read, MIH, a subsidiary of Naspers, owned 3,151,201,900 shares or 33.51 percent of Tencent. Ma Huateng or Pony Ma as he is better known, owns 855,446,400 shares, or 9.1 percent of the company through an entity called Advance Data Services Limited.


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